Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.845033 0.988693 1.149202 1.341831 1.566775 1.821222 2.131022
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.651344 0.852187 1.102514 1.437503 1.874369 2.425308 3.173948
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.531202 0.752734 1.051258 1.483073 2.092437 2.922974 4.143711
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.441470 0.667437 0.991838 1.491693 2.243724 3.335394 5.045611
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.371401 0.593738 0.930820 1.479300 2.351326 3.687852 5.900073
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.319035 0.536087 0.881571 1.471758 2.457514 4.043436 6.800701
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.281725 0.495406 0.850958 1.485916 2.595230 4.460651 7.852616
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.240191 0.440499 0.787756 1.433897 2.610683 4.672180 8.579494
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.228591 0.436042 0.809758 1.532379 2.900695 5.391252 10.298822
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.199000 0.393914 0.757961 1.487831 2.921462 5.626641 11.155791
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.173102 0.354892 0.706257 1.435300 2.917946 5.812851 11.938784
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.152120 0.322486 0.662695 1.392073 2.925363 6.018252 12.783411
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.139959 0.306923 0.651525 1.415201 3.075318 6.536209 14.364242
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.135798 0.307839 0.674589 1.514156 3.400185 7.461027 16.952683
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.127520 0.298442 0.674311 1.562030 3.620226 8.191477 19.219062
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.117164 0.282750 0.657945 1.571101 3.753630 8.748027 21.168500
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.106497 0.264714 0.633684 1.558047 3.832986 9.190738 22.910881
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.097381 0.249082 0.612856 1.550103 3.923080 9.669569 24.808771
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.090587 0.238230 0.601981 1.565015 4.071317 10.306989 27.193903
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.080734 0.218122 0.565614 1.510225 4.035154 10.484235 28.422743
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.079837 0.221448 0.588924 1.613953 4.426243 11.795688 32.836898
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.071882 0.204551 0.557506 1.567032 4.407929 12.040083 34.392203
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.064422 0.187957 0.524697 1.511703 4.358821 12.195855 35.724368